Thinking weather patterns through rationally and calmly, it is clear that an overall increase in the earth's temperature leads to warmer temperatures overall, and one "unusual" weather incidence in one location does not disprove a pervasive and global phenomenon. Mild temperatures and the effects of El Nino in the winter leads to increased evaporation of surface water, which leads to more water in the air. More water in the air leads to massive storms, including rains, and when the temperature drops below freezing, snow. Indeed, increased volatility and variability in weather patterns and cycles is one of the effects of climate change, leading to periods of extreme heat and extreme cold.
NASA has shown that 2009 was the second warmest year in modern record (2005 was the warmest), and that January 2000 to December 2009 was the warmest decade in the past 2000 years. The chart below (source: www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/info/warming/) shows average global temperatures from 1850 to 2008, where the dramatic rise in global temperature over the past twenty years comparative to the temperature fluctuations in the prior century, is obvious.
In addition, although December 2009 was unseasonably cool in North America (as climate change naysayers gleefully rubbed their mittened hands at such chilling temperatures, quipping childish jokes like, "what happened to that global warming? Can we get it back please...?") due to some unusual Arctic air pressure and jet stream effects, it's important to note that "the contiguous 48 states cover only 1.5% of the world area, so the U.S. temperature does not affect the global temperature much." said James Hansen, director of the Goddard Institute for Space Studies in NYC. It is undeniable that the average global temperature has increased by about 1.4 degrees F (or 0.8 degrees Celsius) since 1880 (and will keep increasing). This may not seem like much, but this supposed negligible change in global temperature could in fact result in the extinction of approximately 20-30% of the earth's species, if increases in global warming exceed 1.5-2.5 degrees celsius (relative to the average temperature from 1980-1999).
Bill Nye (the Science Guy) explains it all to Rachel Maddow:
This drives my nuts too! As I mention all the time, don't compare the extreme top spike in 1998 with 2008 and tell me that the climate is cooling! Look at the trend.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.transitiontownwestkirby.org.uk/background.htm
What fools they are when they can not even read a chart correctly. They would probably look at an average day in May and compare it to the warmest day in April and say that it is getting cooler as July approaches!
Patrick
(Stands and applauds). Thanks for spreading the message. Rachel did great with the basketball analogy and Bill Nye is great. Love his bow-tie. It's scary how many people deny and outright HATE science!!
ReplyDeleteIt's like shaking your fist and denying the sun!! Especially when they benefit in SO many ways from science and probably don't even realize it. They love our modern medicine but climate change is going too far?
And I always say to them, "Isn't it better to be safe than sorry? What's the worst that happens? We free ourselves from foreign oil with green energy and also create an industry that re-energizes our economy??? Sounds good to me!!
Patrick, Thanks for the link - I've added the chart to the post! Green Man, you said it! I simply don't understand the notion that protecting our planet can be a matter of debate. It's the only home we have...
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